Forecast record
Premier League · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 8.9 of 11 starters matched on average across 28 evaluated team forecasts (21 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 8 evaluated team forecasts (6 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 250 / 308
- Team forecasts
- 2821 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 17
- Excluded
- 61
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 81–100 of 120 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 80 / 99 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 83 / 99 |
Forecast better in 1, tied in 4, worse in 4 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
9 paired · 19 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 17 awaiting evaluation · 61 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 20 of 106 records in this group.
Not evaluated
Newcastle Unitedvs Coventry City · 12 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Liverpoolvs Manchester City · 11 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Crystal Palacevs Nottingham Forest · 11 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Hull Cityvs Everton · 11 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Tottenham Hotspurvs Manchester United · 10 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Manchester Unitedvs Tottenham Hotspur · 10 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
AFC Bournemouthvs Chelsea · 10 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Chelseavs AFC Bournemouth · 10 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Arsenalvs Leeds United · 10 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Manchester Unitedvs Fulham · 20 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Liverpoolvs AFC Bournemouth · 20 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Crystal Palacevs Leeds United · 20 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Coventry Cityvs Nottingham Forest · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Nottingham Forestvs Coventry City · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Arsenalvs Brighton & Hove Albion · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Brighton & Hove Albionvs Arsenal · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Hull Cityvs Newcastle United · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Newcastle Unitedvs Hull City · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Tottenham Hotspurvs Aston Villa · 19 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Chelseavs Brentford · 18 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 72 / 88
- Team forecasts
- 86 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 6
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 0 of 14 records in this group.
No records from this group on this page and view.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.