Forecast record
Premier League · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 8.9 of 11 starters matched on average across 28 evaluated team forecasts (21 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 8 evaluated team forecasts (6 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 250 / 308
- Team forecasts
- 2821 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 17
- Excluded
- 61
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–20 of 120 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 80 / 99 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 83 / 99 |
Forecast better in 1, tied in 4, worse in 4 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
9 paired · 19 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 17 awaiting evaluation · 61 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 20 of 106 records in this group.
Evaluated results
AFC Bournemouthvs Sunderland · 18 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Ryan Christie
- Lewis Cook
Predicted, did not start2
- Justin Kluivert
- Alex Scott
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Djordje Petrovic | Starter | Starter |
| Adam Smith | Starter | Starter |
| James Hill | Starter | Starter |
| António Silva | Starter | Starter |
| Adrien Truffert | Starter | Starter |
| Tyler Adams | Starter | Starter |
| Ryan Christie | Not a starter | Starter |
| Rayan | Starter | Starter |
| Lewis Cook | Not a starter | Starter |
| Marcus Tavernier | Starter | Starter |
| Evanilson | Starter | Starter |
| Justin Kluivert | Starter | Not a starter |
| Alex Scott | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Justin KluivertAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Alex ScottAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Ryan ChristieAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Lewis CookAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Justin Kluivert
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Alex Scott
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Official club team news · Published
- Ryan Christie
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Lewis Cook
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 10 / 11 · Forecast: 9 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Djordje Petrovic · Adam Smith · James Hill · António Silva · Adrien Truffert · Tyler Adams · Ryan Christie · David Brooks · Rayan · Marcus Tavernier · Evanilson
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Sunderlandvs AFC Bournemouth · 18 Oct 2026 8 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted3
- Omar Alderete
- Chris Rigg
- Tymur Tutierov
Predicted, did not start3
- Dayann Méthalie
- Nilson Angulo
- Wilson Isidor
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Roefs | Starter | Starter |
| Nordi Mukiele | Starter | Starter |
| Kevin Danso | Starter | Starter |
| Omar Alderete | Not a starter | Starter |
| Reinildo Mandava | Starter | Starter |
| Granit Xhaka | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Sadiki | Starter | Starter |
| Trai Hume | Starter | Starter |
| Chris Rigg | Not a starter | Starter |
| Enzo Le Fée | Starter | Starter |
| Tymur Tutierov | Not a starter | Starter |
| Dayann Méthalie | Starter | Not a starter |
| Nilson Angulo | Starter | Not a starter |
| Wilson Isidor | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Dayann MéthalieAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Nilson AnguloAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Wilson IsidorAt forecast: No availability row recordedLater: Doubtful ·
Selected, not predicted
- Omar AldereteAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Chris RiggAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Tymur TutierovAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
8 starters matched: 1 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Dayann Méthalie
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Nilson Angulo
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Wilson Isidor
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- First later recorded change: · prepared . Recorded change
- Before: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- After: Doubtful. Official club team news · Published
- Omar Alderete
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Chris Rigg
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Tymur Tutierov
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 8 / 11 · Forecast: 8 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Robin Roefs · Trai Hume · Nordi Mukiele · Kevin Danso · Reinildo Mandava · Granit Xhaka · Noah Sadiki · Thomas Meunier · Enzo Le Fée · Nilson Angulo · Wilson Isidor
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Crystal Palacevs Brighton & Hove Albion · 18 Oct 2026 10 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted1
- Honest Ahanor
Predicted, did not start1
- Eddie Nketiah
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Walter Benítez | Starter | Starter |
| Jaydee Canvot | Starter | Starter |
| Chris Richards | Starter | Starter |
| Honest Ahanor | Not a starter | Starter |
| Anan Khalaili | Starter | Starter |
| Adam Wharton | Starter | Starter |
| Quinten Timber | Starter | Starter |
| Tyrick Mitchell | Starter | Starter |
| Daichi Kamada | Starter | Starter |
| Yéremy Pino | Starter | Starter |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | Starter | Starter |
| Eddie Nketiah | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Eddie NketiahAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Honest AhanorAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
10 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 10 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Eddie Nketiah
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Honest Ahanor
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 10 / 11 · Forecast: 10 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 11 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Walter Benítez · Jefferson Lerma · Chris Richards · Jaydee Canvot · Anan Khalaili · Adam Wharton · Quinten Timber · Tyrick Mitchell · Daichi Kamada · Yéremy Pino · Jørgen Strand Larsen
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Leeds Unitedvs Manchester United · 18 Oct 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | Starter | Starter |
| James Justin | Starter | Starter |
| Nico Elvedi | Starter | Starter |
| Tarik Muharemovic | Starter | Starter |
| Jayden Bogle | Starter | Starter |
| Ethan Ampadu | Starter | Starter |
| Ao Tanaka | Starter | Starter |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | Starter | Starter |
| Anton Stach | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Okafor | Starter | Starter |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Previous XI: 11 / 11 · Forecast: 11 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
James Trafford · James Justin · Nico Elvedi · Tarik Muharemovic · Jayden Bogle · Ethan Ampadu · Ao Tanaka · Gabriel Gudmundsson · Anton Stach · Noah Okafor · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Newcastle Unitedvs Aston Villa · 17 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Joelinton
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Predicted, did not start2
- Amar Dedic
- Jacob Murphy
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Lukás Hornícek | Starter | Starter |
| Lewis Miley | Starter | Starter |
| Malick Thiaw | Starter | Starter |
| Sven Botman | Starter | Starter |
| Lewis Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Nico González | Starter | Starter |
| Joelinton | Not a starter | Starter |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo | Not a starter | Starter |
| Joe Willock | Starter | Starter |
| Harvey Barnes | Starter | Starter |
| Yoane Wissa | Starter | Starter |
| Amar Dedic | Starter | Not a starter |
| Jacob Murphy | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Amar DedicAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jacob MurphyAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- JoelintonAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Matias Fernandez-PardoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Amar Dedic
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Jacob Murphy
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Joelinton
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 10 / 11 · Forecast: 9 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 12 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Lukás Hornícek · Lewis Miley · Malick Thiaw · Sven Botman · Lewis Hall · Nico González · Joe Willock · Jacob Murphy · Yoane Wissa · Harvey Barnes · Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Fulhamvs Hull City · 17 Oct 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Previous XI: 9 / 11 · Forecast: 11 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Bernd Leno · Kenny Tete · David Affengruber · Calvin Bassey · Ryan Sessegnon · Sander Berge · Shea Charles · Oscar Bobb · Josh King · Alex Iwobi · Gonzalo García
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Ipswich Townvs Manchester City · 17 Oct 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted4
- Christian Walton
- Abdoul Ouattara
- Florentino
- Exequiel Palacios
Predicted, did not start4
- Kjell Scherpen
- Abdul Fatawu
- Sasa Lukic
- Marcelino Núñez
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walton | Not a starter | Starter |
| Dara O'Shea | Starter | Starter |
| Issa Diop | Starter | Starter |
| Jacob Greaves | Starter | Starter |
| Abdoul Ouattara | Not a starter | Starter |
| Florentino | Not a starter | Starter |
| Exequiel Palacios | Not a starter | Starter |
| Leif Davis | Starter | Starter |
| Daizen Maeda | Starter | Starter |
| Julio Enciso | Starter | Starter |
| Emersonn | Starter | Starter |
| Kjell Scherpen | Starter | Not a starter |
| Abdul Fatawu | Starter | Not a starter |
| Sasa Lukic | Starter | Not a starter |
| Marcelino Núñez | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Kjell ScherpenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdul FatawuAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Sasa LukicAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Marcelino NúñezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Christian WaltonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdoul OuattaraAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- FlorentinoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Exequiel PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Kjell Scherpen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdul Fatawu
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Sasa Lukic
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Marcelino Núñez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Christian Walton
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdoul Ouattara
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Florentino
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Exequiel Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 9 / 11 · Forecast: 7 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Christian Walton · Abdoul Ouattara · Issa Diop · Dara O'Shea · Leif Davis · Sasa Lukic · Florentino · Daizen Maeda · Julio Enciso · Jaden Philogene · Emersonn
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Manchester Cityvs Ipswich Town · 17 Oct 2026 6 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted5
- Matheus Nunes
- Mateo Kovacic
- Ayyoub Bouaddi
- Phil Foden
- Jérémy Doku
Predicted, did not start5
- Abdukodir Khusanov
- Rayan Cherki
- Antoine Semenyo
- Elliot Anderson
- Enzo Fernández
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | Starter | Starter |
| Matheus Nunes | Not a starter | Starter |
| Rúben Dias | Starter | Starter |
| Marc Guéhi | Starter | Starter |
| Nico O'Reilly | Starter | Starter |
| Mateo Kovacic | Not a starter | Starter |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | Not a starter | Starter |
| Iliman Ndiaye | Starter | Starter |
| Phil Foden | Not a starter | Starter |
| Jérémy Doku | Not a starter | Starter |
| Erling Haaland | Starter | Starter |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | Starter | Not a starter |
| Rayan Cherki | Starter | Not a starter |
| Antoine Semenyo | Starter | Not a starter |
| Elliot Anderson | Starter | Not a starter |
| Enzo Fernández | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Abdukodir KhusanovAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Rayan CherkiAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Antoine SemenyoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Elliot AndersonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Enzo FernándezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Matheus NunesAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mateo KovacicAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Ayyoub BouaddiAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Phil FodenAt forecast: No availability row recordedLater: Availability uncertain ·
- Jérémy DokuAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
6 starters matched: 1 had an availability row at forecast; 5 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Abdukodir Khusanov
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Rayan Cherki
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Antoine Semenyo
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Elliot Anderson
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Enzo Fernández
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Matheus Nunes
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Mateo Kovacic
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Ayyoub Bouaddi
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Phil Foden
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- First later recorded change: · prepared . Recorded change
- Before: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- After: Availability uncertain. Official club team news · Collected
- Jérémy Doku
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 7 / 11 · Forecast: 6 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 11 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Gianluigi Donnarumma · Matheus Nunes · Rúben Dias · Marc Guéhi · Nico O'Reilly · Elliot Anderson · Enzo Fernández · Iliman Ndiaye · Rayan Cherki · Antoine Semenyo · Erling Haaland
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Evertonvs Chelsea · 17 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- Jack Grealish
Predicted, did not start2
- Brennan Johnson
- Tyrique George
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | Starter | Starter |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | Starter | Starter |
| James Tarkowski | Starter | Starter |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | Starter | Starter |
| Vitalii Mykolenko | Not a starter | Starter |
| Harrison Armstrong | Starter | Starter |
| James Garner | Starter | Starter |
| Merlin Röhl | Starter | Starter |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Grealish | Not a starter | Starter |
| Thierno Barry | Starter | Starter |
| Brennan Johnson | Starter | Not a starter |
| Tyrique George | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Brennan JohnsonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Tyrique GeorgeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Vitalii MykolenkoAt forecast: OutLater: No availability row recorded ·
- Jack GrealishAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 3 had an availability row at forecast; 6 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Brennan Johnson
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Tyrique George
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- First later recorded change: · prepared . Recorded change
- Before: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- After: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jack Grealish
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 9 / 11 · Forecast: 9 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 11 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Jordan Pickford · Ainsley Maitland-Niles · James Tarkowski · Michael Keane · Jarrad Branthwaite · James Garner · Harrison Armstrong · Brennan Johnson · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Jack Grealish · Thierno Barry
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Manchester Cityvs Liverpool · 11 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Matheus Nunes
- Nico O'Reilly
Predicted, did not start2
- Josko Gvardiol
- Abdukodir Khusanov
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | Starter | Starter |
| Matheus Nunes | Not a starter | Starter |
| Rúben Dias | Starter | Starter |
| Marc Guéhi | Starter | Starter |
| Nico O'Reilly | Not a starter | Starter |
| Elliot Anderson | Starter | Starter |
| Enzo Fernández | Starter | Starter |
| Iliman Ndiaye | Starter | Starter |
| Rayan Cherki | Starter | Starter |
| Antoine Semenyo | Starter | Starter |
| Erling Haaland | Starter | Starter |
| Josko Gvardiol | Starter | Not a starter |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Josko GvardiolAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdukodir KhusanovAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Matheus NunesAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Nico O'ReillyAt forecast: OutNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Josko Gvardiol
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdukodir Khusanov
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Matheus Nunes
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Nico O'Reilly
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Nottingham Forestvs Crystal Palace · 11 Oct 2026 10 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted1
- Ousmane Diomande
Predicted, did not start1
- Jair Cunha
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Matz Sels | Starter | Starter |
| Ola Aina | Starter | Starter |
| Ousmane Diomande | Not a starter | Starter |
| Murillo | Starter | Starter |
| Daniel Muñoz | Starter | Starter |
| Xaver Schlager | Starter | Starter |
| James McAtee | Starter | Starter |
| Neco Williams | Starter | Starter |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | Starter | Starter |
| Dan Ndoye | Starter | Starter |
| Liam Delap | Starter | Starter |
| Jair Cunha | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Jair CunhaAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Ousmane DiomandeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
10 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 10 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Jair Cunha
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Ousmane Diomande
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Evertonvs Hull City · 11 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Michael Keane
- Jack Grealish
Predicted, did not start2
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- Tyrique George
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | Starter | Starter |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | Starter | Starter |
| James Tarkowski | Starter | Starter |
| Michael Keane | Not a starter | Starter |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | Starter | Starter |
| James Garner | Starter | Starter |
| Harrison Armstrong | Starter | Starter |
| Brennan Johnson | Starter | Starter |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Grealish | Not a starter | Starter |
| Thierno Barry | Starter | Starter |
| Vitalii Mykolenko | Starter | Not a starter |
| Tyrique George | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Vitalii MykolenkoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Tyrique GeorgeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Michael KeaneAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jack GrealishAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 1 had an availability row at forecast; 8 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Tyrique George
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Michael Keane
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jack Grealish
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Aston Villavs Brentford · 10 Oct 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted4
- Tyrone Mings
- Matteo Ruggeri
- João Gomes
- Johan Manzambi
Predicted, did not start4
- Pau Torres
- Aaron Wan-Bissaka
- Ross Barkley
- George Hemmings
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | Starter | Starter |
| Matty Cash | Starter | Starter |
| Victor Lindelöf | Starter | Starter |
| Tyrone Mings | Not a starter | Starter |
| Matteo Ruggeri | Not a starter | Starter |
| Boubacar Kamara | Starter | Starter |
| João Gomes | Not a starter | Starter |
| John McGinn | Starter | Starter |
| Emiliano Buendía | Starter | Starter |
| Johan Manzambi | Not a starter | Starter |
| Nicolas Jackson | Starter | Starter |
| Pau Torres | Starter | Not a starter |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | Starter | Not a starter |
| Ross Barkley | Starter | Not a starter |
| George Hemmings | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Pau TorresAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Aaron Wan-BissakaAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Ross BarkleyAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- George HemmingsAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Tyrone MingsAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Matteo RuggeriAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- João GomesAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Johan ManzambiAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 1 had an availability row at forecast; 6 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Pau Torres
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Aaron Wan-Bissaka
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Ross Barkley
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- George Hemmings
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Tyrone Mings
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Matteo Ruggeri
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- João Gomes
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Johan Manzambi
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Brentfordvs Aston Villa · 10 Oct 2026 8 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted3
- Jannik Schuster
- El Hadji Malick Diouf
- Yehor Yarmoliuk
Predicted, did not start3
- Nathan Collins
- Mamadou Sangaré
- Mikkel Damsgaard
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Caoimhín Kelleher | Starter | Starter |
| Michael Kayode | Starter | Starter |
| Jannik Schuster | Not a starter | Starter |
| Kristoffer Ajer | Starter | Starter |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | Not a starter | Starter |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | Not a starter | Starter |
| Vitaly Janelt | Starter | Starter |
| Jaidon Anthony | Starter | Starter |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | Starter | Starter |
| Kevin Schade | Starter | Starter |
| Igor Thiago | Starter | Starter |
| Nathan Collins | Starter | Not a starter |
| Mamadou Sangaré | Starter | Not a starter |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Nathan CollinsAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mamadou SangaréAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mikkel DamsgaardAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Jannik SchusterAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- El Hadji Malick DioufAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Yehor YarmoliukAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
8 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 8 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Nathan Collins
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mamadou Sangaré
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mikkel Damsgaard
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jannik Schuster
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- El Hadji Malick Diouf
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Yehor Yarmoliuk
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Sunderlandvs Brighton & Hove Albion · 10 Oct 2026 10 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted1
- Wilson Isidor
Predicted, did not start1
- Dayann Méthalie
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Roefs | Starter | Starter |
| Trai Hume | Starter | Starter |
| Nordi Mukiele | Starter | Starter |
| Kevin Danso | Starter | Starter |
| Reinildo Mandava | Starter | Starter |
| Granit Xhaka | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Sadiki | Starter | Starter |
| Thomas Meunier | Starter | Starter |
| Enzo Le Fée | Starter | Starter |
| Nilson Angulo | Starter | Starter |
| Wilson Isidor | Not a starter | Starter |
| Dayann Méthalie | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Dayann MéthalieAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Wilson IsidorAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
10 starters matched: 2 had an availability row at forecast; 8 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Dayann Méthalie
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Wilson Isidor
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Brighton & Hove Albionvs Sunderland · 10 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Pascal Struijk
- Chema Andrés
Predicted, did not start2
- Lewis Dunk
- Malick Yalcouyé
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | Starter | Starter |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | Starter | Starter |
| Luka Vuskovic | Starter | Starter |
| Pascal Struijk | Not a starter | Starter |
| Olivier Boscagli | Starter | Starter |
| Pascal Groß | Starter | Starter |
| Chema Andrés | Not a starter | Starter |
| Diego Gómez | Starter | Starter |
| Yasin Ayari | Starter | Starter |
| Maxim De Cuyper | Starter | Starter |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | Starter | Starter |
| Lewis Dunk | Starter | Not a starter |
| Malick Yalcouyé | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Lewis DunkAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Malick YalcouyéAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Pascal StruijkAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Chema AndrésAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Lewis Dunk
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Malick Yalcouyé
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Pascal Struijk
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Chema Andrés
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Ipswich Townvs Fulham · 10 Oct 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted4
- Christian Walton
- Abdoul Ouattara
- Florentino
- Jaden Philogene
Predicted, did not start4
- Kjell Scherpen
- Jacob Greaves
- Marcelino Núñez
- Exequiel Palacios
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walton | Not a starter | Starter |
| Abdoul Ouattara | Not a starter | Starter |
| Issa Diop | Starter | Starter |
| Dara O'Shea | Starter | Starter |
| Leif Davis | Starter | Starter |
| Sasa Lukic | Starter | Starter |
| Florentino | Not a starter | Starter |
| Daizen Maeda | Starter | Starter |
| Julio Enciso | Starter | Starter |
| Jaden Philogene | Not a starter | Starter |
| Emersonn | Starter | Starter |
| Kjell Scherpen | Starter | Not a starter |
| Jacob Greaves | Starter | Not a starter |
| Marcelino Núñez | Starter | Not a starter |
| Exequiel Palacios | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Kjell ScherpenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jacob GreavesAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Marcelino NúñezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Exequiel PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Christian WaltonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdoul OuattaraAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- FlorentinoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jaden PhilogeneAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Kjell Scherpen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jacob Greaves
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Marcelino Núñez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Exequiel Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Christian Walton
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdoul Ouattara
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Florentino
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jaden Philogene
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Fulhamvs Ipswich Town · 10 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Kenny Tete
- Ryan Sessegnon
Predicted, did not start2
- Antonee Robinson
- Timothy Castagne
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Kenny Tete | Not a starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Ryan Sessegnon | Not a starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Not a starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Antonee RobinsonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Timothy CastagneAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Kenny TeteAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Ryan SessegnonAt forecast: OutNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Antonee Robinson
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Timothy Castagne
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Kenny Tete
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Ryan Sessegnon
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Leeds Unitedvs Arsenal · 10 Oct 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | Starter | Starter |
| James Justin | Starter | Starter |
| Nico Elvedi | Starter | Starter |
| Tarik Muharemovic | Starter | Starter |
| Jayden Bogle | Starter | Starter |
| Ethan Ampadu | Starter | Starter |
| Ao Tanaka | Starter | Starter |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | Starter | Starter |
| Anton Stach | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Okafor | Starter | Starter |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Fulhamvs Manchester United · 20 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- David Affengruber
- Shea Charles
Predicted, did not start2
- Joachim Andersen
- César Palacios
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Not a starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Not a starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
| Joachim Andersen | Starter | Not a starter |
| César Palacios | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Joachim AndersenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- César PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- David AffengruberAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Shea CharlesAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Joachim Andersen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- César Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- David Affengruber
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Shea Charles
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 28 of 28 evaluated forecasts
Across 116 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 14
- Later recorded change
- 3
- Neither recorded
- 100
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 72 / 88
- Team forecasts
- 86 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 6
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
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What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.