Forecast record
Premier League · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 8.9 of 11 starters matched on average across 28 evaluated team forecasts (21 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 8 evaluated team forecasts (6 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 250 / 308
- Team forecasts
- 2821 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 17
- Excluded
- 61
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 41–60 of 120 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 80 / 99 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 83 / 99 |
Forecast better in 1, tied in 4, worse in 4 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
9 paired · 19 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 17 awaiting evaluation · 61 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 20 of 106 records in this group.
Awaiting evaluation
Sunderlandvs Coventry City · 31 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
Ipswich Townvs Hull City · 31 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
Fulhamvs Aston Villa · 31 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
Evertonvs Newcastle United · 2 Nov 202624-hour cutoff: Awaiting deadline
The 24-hour deadline had not passed at the last recorded publication.
Newcastle Unitedvs Everton · 2 Nov 202624-hour cutoff: Awaiting deadline
The 24-hour deadline had not passed at the last recorded publication.
Not evaluated
Arsenalvs Liverpool · 1 Nov 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Liverpoolvs Arsenal · 1 Nov 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Aston Villavs Fulham · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Tottenham Hotspurvs Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Crystal Palacevs Tottenham Hotspur · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
AFC Bournemouthvs Leeds United · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Brentfordvs Nottingham Forest · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Brighton & Hove Albionvs Manchester City · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Coventry Cityvs Sunderland · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Hull Cityvs Ipswich Town · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Chelseavs Manchester United · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Manchester Unitedvs Chelsea · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Leeds Unitedvs Sunderland · 25 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Liverpoolvs Brighton & Hove Albion · 25 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Brighton & Hove Albionvs Liverpool · 25 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 72 / 88
- Team forecasts
- 86 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 6
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 0 of 14 records in this group.
No records from this group on this page and view.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.