Forecast record
Fulham · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 9.7 of 11 starters matched on average across 3 evaluated team forecasts (3 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 1 evaluated team forecasts (1 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 29 / 33
- Team forecasts
- 33 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 2
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–6 of 6 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 11 / 11 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 9 / 11 |
Forecast better in 1, tied in 0, worse in 0 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
1 paired · 2 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 2 awaiting evaluation · 0 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 5 of 5 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Fulhamvs Hull City · 17 Oct 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Previous XI: 9 / 11 · Forecast: 11 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Bernd Leno · Kenny Tete · David Affengruber · Calvin Bassey · Ryan Sessegnon · Sander Berge · Shea Charles · Oscar Bobb · Josh King · Alex Iwobi · Gonzalo García
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Fulhamvs Ipswich Town · 10 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Kenny Tete
- Ryan Sessegnon
Predicted, did not start2
- Antonee Robinson
- Timothy Castagne
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Kenny Tete | Not a starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Ryan Sessegnon | Not a starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Not a starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Antonee RobinsonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Timothy CastagneAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Kenny TeteAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Ryan SessegnonAt forecast: OutNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Antonee Robinson
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Timothy Castagne
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Kenny Tete
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Ryan Sessegnon
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Fulhamvs Manchester United · 20 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- David Affengruber
- Shea Charles
Predicted, did not start2
- Joachim Andersen
- César Palacios
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Not a starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Not a starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
| Joachim Andersen | Starter | Not a starter |
| César Palacios | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Joachim AndersenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- César PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- David AffengruberAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Shea CharlesAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Joachim Andersen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- César Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- David Affengruber
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Shea Charles
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 3 of 3 evaluated forecasts
Across 8 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 1
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 7
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Awaiting evaluation
Fulhamvs Coventry City · 24 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing.
Fulhamvs Aston Villa · 31 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 9 / 11
- Team forecasts
- 11 match
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 1 of 1 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Fulhamvs Liverpool · 12 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Recorded before the 24-hour method was introduced.
Started, not predicted2
- David Affengruber
- Sander Berge
Predicted, did not start2
- Joachim Andersen
- César Palacios
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | Starter | Starter |
| Timothy Castagne | Starter | Starter |
| David Affengruber | Not a starter | Starter |
| Calvin Bassey | Starter | Starter |
| Antonee Robinson | Starter | Starter |
| Sander Berge | Not a starter | Starter |
| Shea Charles | Starter | Starter |
| Oscar Bobb | Starter | Starter |
| Josh King | Starter | Starter |
| Alex Iwobi | Starter | Starter |
| Gonzalo García | Starter | Starter |
| Joachim Andersen | Starter | Not a starter |
| César Palacios | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
The method was set after this match's cutoff. This retained forecast is not a prospectively specified test.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Joachim AndersenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- César PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- David AffengruberAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Sander BergeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Joachim Andersen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- César Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- David Affengruber
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Sander Berge
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 1 of 1 evaluated forecast
Across 4 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 0
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 4
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.