Forecast record
Brentford · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 8.5 of 11 starters matched on average across 2 evaluated team forecasts (2 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 7.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 1 evaluated team forecasts (1 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 17 / 22
- Team forecasts
- 22 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 3
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–6 of 6 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
No paired results yet. Comparison began on 14 October 2026. Earlier results have no retrospectively reconstructed baseline.
Comparison coverage
0 paired · 2 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 0 awaiting evaluation · 3 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 5 of 5 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Brentfordvs Aston Villa · 10 Oct 2026 8 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted3
- Jannik Schuster
- El Hadji Malick Diouf
- Yehor Yarmoliuk
Predicted, did not start3
- Nathan Collins
- Mamadou Sangaré
- Mikkel Damsgaard
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Caoimhín Kelleher | Starter | Starter |
| Michael Kayode | Starter | Starter |
| Jannik Schuster | Not a starter | Starter |
| Kristoffer Ajer | Starter | Starter |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | Not a starter | Starter |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | Not a starter | Starter |
| Vitaly Janelt | Starter | Starter |
| Jaidon Anthony | Starter | Starter |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | Starter | Starter |
| Kevin Schade | Starter | Starter |
| Igor Thiago | Starter | Starter |
| Nathan Collins | Starter | Not a starter |
| Mamadou Sangaré | Starter | Not a starter |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Nathan CollinsAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mamadou SangaréAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mikkel DamsgaardAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Jannik SchusterAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- El Hadji Malick DioufAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Yehor YarmoliukAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
8 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 8 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Nathan Collins
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mamadou Sangaré
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mikkel Damsgaard
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jannik Schuster
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- El Hadji Malick Diouf
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Yehor Yarmoliuk
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Brentfordvs Chelsea · 18 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Jannik Schuster
- Mikkel Damsgaard
Predicted, did not start2
- Nathan Collins
- Mamadou Sangaré
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Caoimhín Kelleher | Starter | Starter |
| Michael Kayode | Starter | Starter |
| Jannik Schuster | Not a starter | Starter |
| Kristoffer Ajer | Starter | Starter |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | Starter | Starter |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | Starter | Starter |
| Vitaly Janelt | Starter | Starter |
| Jaidon Anthony | Starter | Starter |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | Not a starter | Starter |
| Kevin Schade | Starter | Starter |
| Igor Thiago | Starter | Starter |
| Nathan Collins | Starter | Not a starter |
| Mamadou Sangaré | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Nathan CollinsAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mamadou SangaréAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Jannik SchusterAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mikkel DamsgaardAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Nathan Collins
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mamadou Sangaré
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jannik Schuster
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mikkel Damsgaard
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 2 of 2 evaluated forecasts
Across 10 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 0
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 10
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Not evaluated
Brentfordvs Nottingham Forest · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Brentfordvs Hull City · 25 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Back to match comparisonBrentfordvs Liverpool · 17 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 7 / 11
- Team forecasts
- 11 match
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 1 of 1 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Brentfordvs AFC Bournemouth · 12 Sept 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Recorded before the 24-hour method was introduced.
Started, not predicted4
- Aaron Hickey
- Jannik Schuster
- Jaidon Anthony
- Yehor Yarmoliuk
Predicted, did not start4
- Michael Kayode
- Nathan Collins
- Mikkel Damsgaard
- Dango Ouattara
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Caoimhín Kelleher | Starter | Starter |
| Aaron Hickey | Not a starter | Starter |
| Jannik Schuster | Not a starter | Starter |
| Kristoffer Ajer | Starter | Starter |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | Starter | Starter |
| Mamadou Sangaré | Starter | Starter |
| Vitaly Janelt | Starter | Starter |
| Jaidon Anthony | Not a starter | Starter |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | Not a starter | Starter |
| Kevin Schade | Starter | Starter |
| Igor Thiago | Starter | Starter |
| Michael Kayode | Starter | Not a starter |
| Nathan Collins | Starter | Not a starter |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | Starter | Not a starter |
| Dango Ouattara | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
The method was set after this match's cutoff. This retained forecast is not a prospectively specified test.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Michael KayodeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Nathan CollinsAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Mikkel DamsgaardAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Dango OuattaraAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Aaron HickeyAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jannik SchusterAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jaidon AnthonyAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Yehor YarmoliukAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Michael Kayode
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Nathan Collins
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Mikkel Damsgaard
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Dango Ouattara
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Aaron Hickey
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jannik Schuster
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jaidon Anthony
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Yehor Yarmoliuk
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 1 of 1 evaluated forecast
Across 8 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 0
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 8
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.