Forecast record
Crystal Palace · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 10.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 1 evaluated team forecasts (1 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 7.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 1 evaluated team forecasts (1 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 10 / 11
- Team forecasts
- 11 match
- Awaiting evaluation
- 1
- Excluded
- 3
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–6 of 6 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 10 / 11 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 10 / 11 |
Forecast better in 0, tied in 1, worse in 0 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
1 paired · 0 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 1 awaiting evaluation · 3 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 5 of 5 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Crystal Palacevs Brighton & Hove Albion · 18 Oct 2026 10 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted1
- Honest Ahanor
Predicted, did not start1
- Eddie Nketiah
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Walter Benítez | Starter | Starter |
| Jaydee Canvot | Starter | Starter |
| Chris Richards | Starter | Starter |
| Honest Ahanor | Not a starter | Starter |
| Anan Khalaili | Starter | Starter |
| Adam Wharton | Starter | Starter |
| Quinten Timber | Starter | Starter |
| Tyrick Mitchell | Starter | Starter |
| Daichi Kamada | Starter | Starter |
| Yéremy Pino | Starter | Starter |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | Starter | Starter |
| Eddie Nketiah | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Eddie NketiahAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Honest AhanorAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
10 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 10 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Eddie Nketiah
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Honest Ahanor
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 10 / 11 · Forecast: 10 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 11 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Walter Benítez · Jefferson Lerma · Chris Richards · Jaydee Canvot · Anan Khalaili · Adam Wharton · Quinten Timber · Tyrick Mitchell · Daichi Kamada · Yéremy Pino · Jørgen Strand Larsen
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Review evidence · 1 of 1 evaluated forecast
Across 2 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 1
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 1
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Awaiting evaluation
Crystal Palacevs Newcastle United · 25 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing.
Not evaluated
Crystal Palacevs Tottenham Hotspur · 31 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Crystal Palacevs Nottingham Forest · 11 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Crystal Palacevs Leeds United · 20 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 7 / 11
- Team forecasts
- 11 match
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 1 of 1 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Crystal Palacevs Ipswich Town · 12 Sept 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Recorded before the 24-hour method was introduced.
Started, not predicted4
- Walter Benítez
- Axel Disasi
- Honest Ahanor
- Jørgen Strand Larsen
Predicted, did not start4
- Dean Henderson
- Jaydee Canvot
- Takehiro Tomiyasu
- Eddie Nketiah
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Walter Benítez | Not a starter | Starter |
| Chris Richards | Starter | Starter |
| Axel Disasi | Not a starter | Starter |
| Honest Ahanor | Not a starter | Starter |
| Anan Khalaili | Starter | Starter |
| Quinten Timber | Starter | Starter |
| Adam Wharton | Starter | Starter |
| Tyrick Mitchell | Starter | Starter |
| Daichi Kamada | Starter | Starter |
| Yéremy Pino | Starter | Starter |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | Not a starter | Starter |
| Dean Henderson | Starter | Not a starter |
| Jaydee Canvot | Starter | Not a starter |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | Starter | Not a starter |
| Eddie Nketiah | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
The method was set after this match's cutoff. This retained forecast is not a prospectively specified test.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Dean HendersonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jaydee CanvotAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Takehiro TomiyasuAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Eddie NketiahAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Walter BenítezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Axel DisasiAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Honest AhanorAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jørgen Strand LarsenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Dean Henderson
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jaydee Canvot
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Takehiro Tomiyasu
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Eddie Nketiah
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Walter Benítez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Axel Disasi
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Honest Ahanor
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jørgen Strand Larsen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 1 of 1 evaluated forecast
Across 8 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 0
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 8
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.