Forecast record
Ipswich Town · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 7.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 3 evaluated team forecasts (3 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 1 evaluated team forecasts (1 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 21 / 33
- Team forecasts
- 33 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 2
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–6 of 6 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 7 / 11 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 9 / 11 |
Forecast better in 0, tied in 0, worse in 1 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
1 paired · 2 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 2 awaiting evaluation · 0 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 5 of 5 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Ipswich Townvs Manchester City · 17 Oct 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted4
- Christian Walton
- Abdoul Ouattara
- Florentino
- Exequiel Palacios
Predicted, did not start4
- Kjell Scherpen
- Abdul Fatawu
- Sasa Lukic
- Marcelino Núñez
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walton | Not a starter | Starter |
| Dara O'Shea | Starter | Starter |
| Issa Diop | Starter | Starter |
| Jacob Greaves | Starter | Starter |
| Abdoul Ouattara | Not a starter | Starter |
| Florentino | Not a starter | Starter |
| Exequiel Palacios | Not a starter | Starter |
| Leif Davis | Starter | Starter |
| Daizen Maeda | Starter | Starter |
| Julio Enciso | Starter | Starter |
| Emersonn | Starter | Starter |
| Kjell Scherpen | Starter | Not a starter |
| Abdul Fatawu | Starter | Not a starter |
| Sasa Lukic | Starter | Not a starter |
| Marcelino Núñez | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Kjell ScherpenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdul FatawuAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Sasa LukicAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Marcelino NúñezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Christian WaltonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdoul OuattaraAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- FlorentinoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Exequiel PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Kjell Scherpen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdul Fatawu
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Sasa Lukic
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Marcelino Núñez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Christian Walton
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdoul Ouattara
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Florentino
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Exequiel Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 9 / 11 · Forecast: 7 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Christian Walton · Abdoul Ouattara · Issa Diop · Dara O'Shea · Leif Davis · Sasa Lukic · Florentino · Daizen Maeda · Julio Enciso · Jaden Philogene · Emersonn
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Ipswich Townvs Fulham · 10 Oct 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted4
- Christian Walton
- Abdoul Ouattara
- Florentino
- Jaden Philogene
Predicted, did not start4
- Kjell Scherpen
- Jacob Greaves
- Marcelino Núñez
- Exequiel Palacios
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walton | Not a starter | Starter |
| Abdoul Ouattara | Not a starter | Starter |
| Issa Diop | Starter | Starter |
| Dara O'Shea | Starter | Starter |
| Leif Davis | Starter | Starter |
| Sasa Lukic | Starter | Starter |
| Florentino | Not a starter | Starter |
| Daizen Maeda | Starter | Starter |
| Julio Enciso | Starter | Starter |
| Jaden Philogene | Not a starter | Starter |
| Emersonn | Starter | Starter |
| Kjell Scherpen | Starter | Not a starter |
| Jacob Greaves | Starter | Not a starter |
| Marcelino Núñez | Starter | Not a starter |
| Exequiel Palacios | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Kjell ScherpenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jacob GreavesAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Marcelino NúñezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Exequiel PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Christian WaltonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdoul OuattaraAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- FlorentinoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jaden PhilogeneAt forecast: Availability uncertainNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Kjell Scherpen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jacob Greaves
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Marcelino Núñez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Exequiel Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Christian Walton
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdoul Ouattara
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Florentino
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jaden Philogene
- At forecast: Availability uncertain. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Ipswich Townvs Everton · 19 Sept 2026 7 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted4
- Christian Walton
- Abdoul Ouattara
- Exequiel Palacios
- Jack Clarke
Predicted, did not start4
- Kjell Scherpen
- Jacob Greaves
- Marcelino Núñez
- Daizen Maeda
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walton | Not a starter | Starter |
| Abdoul Ouattara | Not a starter | Starter |
| Issa Diop | Starter | Starter |
| Dara O'Shea | Starter | Starter |
| Leif Davis | Starter | Starter |
| Sasa Lukic | Starter | Starter |
| Exequiel Palacios | Not a starter | Starter |
| Abdul Fatawu | Starter | Starter |
| Julio Enciso | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Clarke | Not a starter | Starter |
| Emersonn | Starter | Starter |
| Kjell Scherpen | Starter | Not a starter |
| Jacob Greaves | Starter | Not a starter |
| Marcelino Núñez | Starter | Not a starter |
| Daizen Maeda | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Kjell ScherpenAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jacob GreavesAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Marcelino NúñezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Daizen MaedaAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Christian WaltonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Abdoul OuattaraAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Exequiel PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jack ClarkeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
7 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 7 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Kjell Scherpen
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jacob Greaves
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Marcelino Núñez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Daizen Maeda
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Christian Walton
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Abdoul Ouattara
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Exequiel Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jack Clarke
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 3 of 3 evaluated forecasts
Across 24 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 1
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 23
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Awaiting evaluation
Ipswich Townvs Nottingham Forest · 23 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing.
Ipswich Townvs Hull City · 31 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 9 / 11
- Team forecasts
- 11 match
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 1 of 1 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Ipswich Townvs Crystal Palace · 12 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Recorded before the 24-hour method was introduced.
Started, not predicted2
- Exequiel Palacios
- Jack Clarke
Predicted, did not start2
- Daizen Maeda
- Marcelino Núñez
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Kjell Scherpen | Starter | Starter |
| Dara O'Shea | Starter | Starter |
| Issa Diop | Starter | Starter |
| Jacob Greaves | Starter | Starter |
| Leif Davis | Starter | Starter |
| Sasa Lukic | Starter | Starter |
| Exequiel Palacios | Not a starter | Starter |
| Abdul Fatawu | Starter | Starter |
| Julio Enciso | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Clarke | Not a starter | Starter |
| Emersonn | Starter | Starter |
| Daizen Maeda | Starter | Not a starter |
| Marcelino Núñez | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
The method was set after this match's cutoff. This retained forecast is not a prospectively specified test.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Daizen MaedaAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Marcelino NúñezAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Exequiel PalaciosAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jack ClarkeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Daizen Maeda
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Marcelino Núñez
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Exequiel Palacios
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jack Clarke
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 1 of 1 evaluated forecast
Across 4 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 0
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 4
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.