Forecast record
Leeds United · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 11.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 3 evaluated team forecasts (3 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
No retained record for this team, match and method. Other results below are not a substitute.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 33 / 33
- Team forecasts
- 33 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 1
- Excluded
- 2
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–6 of 6 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 11 / 11 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 11 / 11 |
Forecast better in 0, tied in 1, worse in 0 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
1 paired · 2 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 1 awaiting evaluation · 2 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 6 of 6 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Leeds Unitedvs Manchester United · 18 Oct 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | Starter | Starter |
| James Justin | Starter | Starter |
| Nico Elvedi | Starter | Starter |
| Tarik Muharemovic | Starter | Starter |
| Jayden Bogle | Starter | Starter |
| Ethan Ampadu | Starter | Starter |
| Ao Tanaka | Starter | Starter |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | Starter | Starter |
| Anton Stach | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Okafor | Starter | Starter |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Previous XI: 11 / 11 · Forecast: 11 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 10 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
James Trafford · James Justin · Nico Elvedi · Tarik Muharemovic · Jayden Bogle · Ethan Ampadu · Ao Tanaka · Gabriel Gudmundsson · Anton Stach · Noah Okafor · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Leeds Unitedvs Arsenal · 10 Oct 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | Starter | Starter |
| James Justin | Starter | Starter |
| Nico Elvedi | Starter | Starter |
| Tarik Muharemovic | Starter | Starter |
| Jayden Bogle | Starter | Starter |
| Ethan Ampadu | Starter | Starter |
| Ao Tanaka | Starter | Starter |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | Starter | Starter |
| Anton Stach | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Okafor | Starter | Starter |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Leeds Unitedvs Crystal Palace · 20 Sept 2026 11 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
All 11 predicted starters were in the official XI.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | Starter | Starter |
| James Justin | Starter | Starter |
| Nico Elvedi | Starter | Starter |
| Tarik Muharemovic | Starter | Starter |
| Jayden Bogle | Starter | Starter |
| Anton Stach | Starter | Starter |
| Ethan Ampadu | Starter | Starter |
| Ao Tanaka | Starter | Starter |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | Starter | Starter |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | Starter | Starter |
| Noah Okafor | Starter | Starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
All 11 starters matched. There are no missed starters to review.
Review evidence · 3 of 3 evaluated forecasts
Across 0 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 0
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 0
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Awaiting evaluation
Leeds Unitedvs AFC Bournemouth · 31 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing.
Not evaluated
Leeds Unitedvs Sunderland · 25 Oct 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Leeds Unitedvs Newcastle United · 14 Sept 2026The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI. Not evaluated
The last answer before the deadline was not an eligible full predicted XI.
Earlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- Not evaluated
- Team forecasts
- 00 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 0
No retained team/match observations in this group.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.