Forecast record
Everton · Published predictions and official starters
24-hour method: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 3 evaluated team forecasts (3 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Earlier deadlines: 9.0 of 11 starters matched on average across 1 evaluated team forecasts (1 matches). Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
24-hour method
Method set on 12 September 2026, before these deadlines.
- Starters matched
- 27 / 33
- Team forecasts
- 33 matches
- Awaiting evaluation
- 2
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Recorded through 1 Nov 2026, 18:57 UTC.
Showing 1–6 of 6 · All records
Scores use the full team and method selection. The record view and page do not change them.
Does the forecast improve on the previous XI?
We compare the forecast with the unchanged eleven from the team's previous Premier League match, recorded together before the same 24-hour deadline.
| Method | Starters matched |
|---|---|
| Match XI forecast | 9 / 11 |
| Previous XI unchanged | 9 / 11 |
Forecast better in 0, tied in 1, worse in 0 team forecasts.
This sample does not establish an advantage on future matches.
Comparison coverage
1 paired · 2 evaluated without a qualified previous XI · 2 awaiting evaluation · 0 excluded.
The comparison uses only paired forecasts. Results above may include forecasts without a recorded baseline. Missing evidence is never scored as zero.
Showing 5 of 5 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Evertonvs Chelsea · 17 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- Jack Grealish
Predicted, did not start2
- Brennan Johnson
- Tyrique George
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | Starter | Starter |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | Starter | Starter |
| James Tarkowski | Starter | Starter |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | Starter | Starter |
| Vitalii Mykolenko | Not a starter | Starter |
| Harrison Armstrong | Starter | Starter |
| James Garner | Starter | Starter |
| Merlin Röhl | Starter | Starter |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Grealish | Not a starter | Starter |
| Thierno Barry | Starter | Starter |
| Brennan Johnson | Starter | Not a starter |
| Tyrique George | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Brennan JohnsonAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Tyrique GeorgeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Vitalii MykolenkoAt forecast: OutLater: No availability row recorded ·
- Jack GrealishAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 3 had an availability row at forecast; 6 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Brennan Johnson
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Tyrique George
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- First later recorded change: · prepared . Recorded change
- Before: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- After: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jack Grealish
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Previous XI: 9 / 11 · Forecast: 9 / 11
Unchanged official starters from the previous Premier League match on 11 Oct 2026. Both methods are checked against the same official XI.
Jordan Pickford · Ainsley Maitland-Niles · James Tarkowski · Michael Keane · Jarrad Branthwaite · James Garner · Harrison Armstrong · Brennan Johnson · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Jack Grealish · Thierno Barry
Recorded with this forecast before the 24-hour deadline. No substitutions for injuries, transfers or later news.
Evertonvs Hull City · 11 Oct 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- Michael Keane
- Jack Grealish
Predicted, did not start2
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- Tyrique George
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | Starter | Starter |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | Starter | Starter |
| James Tarkowski | Starter | Starter |
| Michael Keane | Not a starter | Starter |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | Starter | Starter |
| James Garner | Starter | Starter |
| Harrison Armstrong | Starter | Starter |
| Brennan Johnson | Starter | Starter |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Grealish | Not a starter | Starter |
| Thierno Barry | Starter | Starter |
| Vitalii Mykolenko | Starter | Not a starter |
| Tyrique George | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Vitalii MykolenkoAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Tyrique GeorgeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Michael KeaneAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jack GrealishAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until kickoff at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 1 had an availability row at forecast; 8 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Vitalii Mykolenko
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Tyrique George
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Michael Keane
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Jack Grealish
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Evertonvs Ipswich Town · 19 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Started, not predicted2
- James Garner
- Jack Grealish
Predicted, did not start2
- Tyrique George
- Hayden Hackney
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | Starter | Starter |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | Starter | Starter |
| James Tarkowski | Starter | Starter |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | Starter | Starter |
| Vitalii Mykolenko | Starter | Starter |
| Harrison Armstrong | Starter | Starter |
| James Garner | Not a starter | Starter |
| Brennan Johnson | Starter | Starter |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Jack Grealish | Not a starter | Starter |
| Thierno Barry | Starter | Starter |
| Tyrique George | Starter | Not a starter |
| Hayden Hackney | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Tyrique GeorgeAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Hayden HackneyAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- James GarnerAt forecast: OutNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Jack GrealishAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Tyrique George
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Hayden Hackney
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- James Garner
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
- Jack Grealish
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 3 of 3 evaluated forecasts
Across 12 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 2
- Later recorded change
- 1
- Neither recorded
- 10
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
Awaiting evaluation
Evertonvs Arsenal · 24 Oct 202624-hour cutoff: · The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing. Awaiting evidence
The deadline has passed; official lineup evidence is still missing.
Evertonvs Newcastle United · 2 Nov 202624-hour cutoff: Awaiting deadline
The 24-hour deadline had not passed at the last recorded publication.
Back to match comparisonEarlier deadlines
These deadlines passed before the method was introduced. Retained public forecasts, not a prospectively specified test.
- Starters matched
- 9 / 11
- Team forecasts
- 11 match
- Awaiting evaluation
- 0
- Excluded
- 0
Early sample; not a reliable estimate of future performance.
Showing 1 of 1 records in this group.
Evaluated results
Evertonvs Tottenham Hotspur · 12 Sept 2026 9 / 11 matched
Forecast recorded .
Last recorded forecast before the 24-hour cutoff. Its timing before the official announcement is not verified.
Recorded before the 24-hour method was introduced.
Started, not predicted2
- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
- James Garner
Predicted, did not start2
- Merlin Röhl
- Hayden Hackney
Starting selections, not substitutions or one-for-one replacements.
Compare all starters
| Player | Forecast | Official XI |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | Starter | Starter |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | Not a starter | Starter |
| James Tarkowski | Starter | Starter |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | Starter | Starter |
| Vitalii Mykolenko | Starter | Starter |
| Harrison Armstrong | Starter | Starter |
| James Garner | Not a starter | Starter |
| Brennan Johnson | Starter | Starter |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Starter | Starter |
| Tyrique George | Starter | Starter |
| Thierno Barry | Starter | Starter |
| Merlin Röhl | Starter | Not a starter |
| Hayden Hackney | Starter | Not a starter |
Forecast version & sources
- Forecast recorded
- 24-hour cutoff
- Forecast prepared
- Model checked
- Official source collected
A source collection or observation time is not the official announcement time.
The method was set after this match's cutoff. This retained forecast is not a prospectively specified test.
These are the saved starting selections, not a forecast rebuilt with later information.
Evidence at forecast time
Review of missed starters
Predicted, not selected
- Merlin RöhlAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- Hayden HackneyAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
Selected, not predicted
- Ainsley Maitland-NilesAt forecast: No availability row recordedNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
- James GarnerAt forecast: OutNo later availability change recorded in this review window.
An absent availability row does not confirm fitness. These records do not establish why the manager chose this XI.
Times and sources for this review
Forecast recorded ; prepared .
Later changes are checked only until the first recorded official XI at . The official announcement time is unknown; a later record is not proof that news arrived before the announcement.
Official boundary source: Premier League match centre · Collected . First recorded official XI
9 starters matched: 0 had an availability row at forecast; 9 did not. The same evidence can occur among correct picks.
- Merlin Röhl
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Hayden Hackney
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
- At forecast: No availability row recorded; fitness is not confirmed.
- James Garner
- At forecast: Out. Premier League latest player injuries · Collected
Workload effects and model errors cannot be inferred from these availability records. They require inputs saved before the match and a separate evaluation.
Review evidence · 1 of 1 evaluated forecast
Across 4 differences in starting status:
- Availability row at forecast
- 1
- Later recorded change
- 0
- Neither recorded
- 3
These evidence groups can overlap. They describe saved records, not the cause of a missed starter.
What the record measures
History begins 10 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Starters matched, not formation, positions, match outcomes or betting returns. Each team counts once per method; corrections replace its score, not its place in the sample. Excluded and pending answers are not counted as zero.
Only actual confirmed public observations are retained. Past forecasts are never rebuilt using today's data. The two methods and the earlier-deadline group are not combined.